TURNOUT RESULTS – OVERNIGHT, FROM DAILYWIRE: And they look good for the GOP.
Republicans are already seeing a huge advantage in turnout during the 2022 primaries, according to one pollster.
In Tuesday’s primary elections in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Kentucky, Idaho, and Oregon, Republicans made up 54.9% of the total votes cast, according to John Couvillon, founder of the polling firm JMC Analytics. When factoring in the other five states that have already held primaries — Texas, Indiana, Ohio, Nebraska, and West Virginia, Republicans account for fully 60% of votes cast in the primaries so far.
“In every state where I’ve been measuring turnout changes relative to previous midterms, I’m seeing a clear advantage on the Republican side,” Couvillon told the New York Post Wednesday. Couvillon added that the data was “not super representative,” since it was only from 10 states with early primaries, and there are still 174 days before the general elections. Still, the data from these primaries suggest that “states that are swinging and are Republican are going to move far to the right,” he said.
Couvillon also shared his data on Twitter Wednesday. According to the data, overall turnout in the 10 states that have already had primaries was up 21% from 2018, which he noted was a high turnout year in itself. But a partisan breakdown showed a massive advantage for Republicans — so far, Democratic turnout has totaled just under five million votes, while Republicans have cast nearly 7.5 million. In addition, Democratic turnout increased by just 3% over 2018, while Republican turnout increased by 38%.
COMMENT: We caution again that the only poll that counts is the one on election day, and election day 2022 is more than five months away. Almost anything can happen that has the potential to tighten the race.
The Dems are in a mean mood, and a fighting mood, and they are dominated by leftists who recognize few barriers. After all, the Dems are so frightened of their own left wing that most of them refused to condemn the rioting of the last two years.
However, the current news should certainly give Republicans a few smiles. If our side can keep up the momentum, and run a tough campaign, there should be millions of smiling Republican faces on election day. But it will take relentless work.
May 19, 2022 |